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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 9 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

11,157 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 9 of 417

Futuur

Open

Elected Senators for Alagoas in 2026

Arthur Lira48¢

4 outcomes

$76 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

‹ Prev1…7891011…417Next ›

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$509K Vol▲ 4pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party84¢

2 outcomes

$18.9M Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Smarkets

Open

Next General Election - Snap Election

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

£880 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]

January100¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ111K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

InsightX

Open

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

$6M Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Winning party in Wisconsin's gubernatorial election (2026)

Democratic Party68¢

2 outcomes

$65 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?

180-19914¢

26 outcomes

$134K Vol▲ 2pts9d

Kalshi

Open

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

John James90¢

15 outcomes

$619K Vol▼ 1pts3mo

Smarkets

Open

Next Conservative Leader - After Kemi Badenoch

Gavin Williamson26¢

31 outcomes

£507 Vol▼ 7pts2y

InsightX

Open

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 3136¢

2 outcomes

$5.7M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ38.1K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Polymarket⚡ Moving fast

Open

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

The Clarity Act has advanced in a House subcommittee but remains mired in controversy over presidential profit rules, leaving the market skeptical despite some legislative progress.

Yes38¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$2.7M Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Futuur

Open

How many ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz on any single day by July 31?

At least 3016¢

3 outcomes

$60 Vol▲ 0pts17d

Kalshi

Open

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

The market sees a 56% chance that Strait of Hormuz transit calls stay below 60 through year-end, reflecting skepticism that traffic will fully recover in 2026 after repeated setbacks, even though the waterway is technically open.

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

$1.5M Vol▼ 1pts5mo

InsightX

Open

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase54¢

2 outcomes

$4.4M Vol▼ 0pts1mo

Smarkets

Open

Governor Elections — Ohio Governor Election Winner

Republican57¢

2 outcomes

£415 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?

The field is extremely concentrated in deep-red states where Republican incumbents or heirs-apparent face no serious general-election threat, but the recent shift is a slight narrowing in Mississippi and Tennessee as national Democrats signal they will contest only a handful of seats, leaving the rest uncontested.

Mississippi97¢

35 outcomes

Ɱ140K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket⚡ Moving fast

Open

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$1.4M Vol▲ 4pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Dias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ...?

June 30, 202715¢

2 outcomes

$60 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61¢

13 outcomes

$2.6M Vol▲ 0pts1y

InsightX

Open

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Renan Santos10¢

2 outcomes

$4.3M Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Smarkets

Open

State Senate Elections — Ohio Senate Election Winner

Republican53¢

2 outcomes

£378 Vol▼ 49pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Other49¢

15 outcomes

Ɱ15.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y