Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
712 markets · page 1 of 30
9 outcomes
The field is heavily concentrated on Lula (60%), but the 23% for 'Another' candidate reveals a significant third force that could either split the anti-Lula vote or consolidate into a viable challenge, especially given a May 13 poll showing Lula and Bolsonaro deadlocked in a runoff.
3 outcomes
13 outcomes
Yes ≈ 94% chance
2 outcomes
28 outcomes
The field is extremely concentrated, with Lula at 63% and Flavio Bolsonaro at 23%, but the biggest recent shift is Flavio Bolsonaro's formal launch as the Liberal Party candidate (Anadolu Ajansı, Jul 26), which consolidated his second-place position and pushed his odds up from lower levels, while Jair Bolsonaro's 1% shows his political influence has faded.
10 outcomes
The field is moderately concentrated with one dominant candidate, Cleitinho Azevedo at 64%, who has surged as Lula's Workers' Party struggles to unify behind a single challenger in Minas Gerais.
4 outcomes
7 outcomes
Yes ≈ 3% chance
3 outcomes
6 outcomes
2 outcomes
128 outcomes
9 outcomes
Yes ≈ 3% chance
7 outcomes