Brazil Presidential election winner?

🗂 Part of event: Brazil Presidential election winner? →

61¢Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

+7 more

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💡 What the odds say

Most likely: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at about a 61% chance — more likely than not.

✨ Ask about this market

StatusOpen

ClosesOct 25, 2027 · 1y

Total volume$2.6M

24h volume$20.3K

ListedJul 24, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Oct 25, 2027 (1y)

Resolution criteria

In The next presidential election

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗