Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3786 US elections 2657 Foreign politics 400 Political Leader Tenure 336 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 US Political Milestones ✨ 30 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

4,899 markets · page 1 of 205

InsightX

Open

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Bernie Sanders1¢

2 outcomes

$1.2B Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

123…205Next ›

Gavin Newsom

18¢

46 outcomes

$161M Vol▲ 1pts2y

Smarkets

Open

Next General Election - Most Seats

Labour36¢

9 outcomes

£259K Vol▼ 0pts3y

XO Market

Open

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Despite Newsom's commanding lead, the field is far from settled: the 20% 'Other' share and AOC/Ossoff's recent gains per Action Network (Jul 8) suggest a pool of anti-Newsom sentiment waiting for a viable alternative.

Gavin Newsom42¢

8 outcomes

$78.5K Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?

The market heavily discounts a Trump 2028 announcement despite his continued political activity, reflecting his age, legal risks, and the party's gradual shift toward newer contenders.

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

Ɱ12.3K Vol▲ 9pts1y

Futuur

Open

Brazil’s Next President Elect

Lula62¢

9 outcomes

$8.8K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Myriad

Open

Will Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?

Progressive primary victories are energizing the Democratic base but also fueling centrist backlash and Republican attacks, creating a net-negative effect that keeps the sweep odds below 50%.

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

InsightX

Open

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Byron Donalds1¢

2 outcomes

$678M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49¢

128 outcomes

$680M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance18¢

30 outcomes

$54.4M Vol▼ 1pts3y

Smarkets

Open

2028 Presidential Election Winner

JD Vance18¢

40 outcomes

£243K Vol▲ 1pts2y

XO Market

Open

Brazil Presidential election winner

The field is heavily concentrated on Lula (60%), but the 23% for 'Another' candidate reveals a significant third force that could either split the anti-Lula vote or consolidate into a viable challenge, especially given a May 13 poll showing Lula and Bolsonaro deadlocked in a runoff.

Lula65¢

3 outcomes

$56.5K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ43.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026

The field is moderately concentrated with one dominant candidate, Cleitinho Azevedo at 64%, who has surged as Lula's Workers' Party struggles to unify behind a single challenger in Minas Gerais.

Cleitinho Azevedo60¢

4 outcomes

$3K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

InsightX

Open

Presidential Election Winner 2028

LeBron James0¢

2 outcomes

$670M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance39¢

38 outcomes

$54.1M Vol▼ 1pts2y

Smarkets

Open

Brazil Presidential Election — Next President of Brazil

The field is extremely concentrated, with Lula at 63% and Flavio Bolsonaro at 23%, but the biggest recent shift is Flavio Bolsonaro's formal launch as the Liberal Party candidate (Anadolu Ajansı, Jul 26), which consolidated his second-place position and pushed his odds up from lower levels, while Jair Bolsonaro's 1% shows his political influence has faded.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63¢

10 outcomes

£133K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

The race to succeed Nancy Pelosi is a two-person contest between Scott Wiener (69%) and Connie Chan (30%), with no recent headlines directly affecting the race. The field is highly concentrated, and the biggest recent shift is the solidification of Wiener's lead, though no headline explains this move.

Scott Wiener69¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ1.4M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Futuur

Open

São Tomé and Príncipe presidential election winner (2026)

The field is extremely concentrated with incumbent Carlos Vila Nova at 81%, far ahead of nearest rival Nito Abreu at 22%; no recent news or shifting events identified.

Carlos Vila Nova98¢

5 outcomes

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

InsightX

Open

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas0¢

2 outcomes

$116M Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20¢

128 outcomes

$671M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds97¢

9 outcomes

$11.1M Vol▼ 0pts3mo

Smarkets

Open

Clacton By-Election - Winner

Reform UK94¢

7 outcomes

£85.9K Vol▲ 0pts18d

Manifold· Play

Open

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

5018¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ27.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo