Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Politics prediction markets & live odds | PredictPal · PredictPal

🏛️

Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3798 US elections 2666 Foreign politics 400 Political Leader Tenure 337 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

261 markets · page 1 of 11

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$36.3K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

123…11Next ›

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ607K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

JD Vance out as VP by July 31?

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$3.3K Vol4d

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028? — Before Election Day

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$59.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ13K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$146K Vol5d

Kalshi

Open

Will Marco Rubio leaves Secretary of State in before 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$135K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ15.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$7.7K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028? — Before 2028

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$37.6K Vol▲ 2pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ11.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$146K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will become President of the United States before 2045? — Before 2045

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$52.9K Vol▼ 2pts18y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

Ɱ81.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Yes18¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$11.8K Vol2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Marco Rubio receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$4.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC be the first female US president?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ370 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$174 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?

He will not become president at all (as of the 2032 election.)60¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ15.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Marco Rubio

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$33.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

JD Vance wins 2028 Republican nomination?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$15.7K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States? — Before November 4, 2028

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$20.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028

Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses53¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ16.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y