Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
AllUS governance 3929US elections 2819Foreign politics 442Political Leader Tenure 360Future US Presidents 230US Political Timelines 204Leader Tenure Predictions 118US Political Future 107Presidential Candidacy 75Person of the Year Awards 14Sports & Political Leadership 10
11,066 markets · browsing the top 10,008 · page 10 of 417
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
The current odds reflect the market's struggle to weigh credible security threats and speculations about Trump's age and health against the absence of concrete medical evidence, with headlines providing more noise than clarity.
Yes22¢
No78¢
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Ɱ553K Vol 0pts2y