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Politics prediction markets & live odds | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3798 US elections 2666 Foreign politics 400 Political Leader Tenure 337 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 201 Leader Tenure Predictions 113 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 71 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

161 markets · page 1 of 7

InsightX

Open

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20269¢

2 outcomes

$18.3M Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Polymarket

Open

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

123…7Next ›

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$18M Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$92.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Limitless

Open

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes50¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$2.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Masoud Pezeshkian out as President of Iran by ...?

December 3124¢

3 outcomes

$460 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)56¢

34 outcomes

$16.1M Vol▼ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Vladimir Putin

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$657K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Netanyahu hugs/embraces Trump and/or Zelenskyy in July 2026?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ122 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ukraine's declared readiness for an unconditional ceasefire contrasts sharply with Russia's explicit refusal to halt fighting for talks, creating a stalemate that keeps odds low despite diplomatic signals.

Yes19¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$802K Vol▼ 4pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

Russia13¢

10 outcomes

$39.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ73K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$290K Vol▲ 1pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$97.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin's approval rating decrease in July 2026?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

No meeting by December 3170¢

15 outcomes

$189K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$64.3K Vol▲ 3pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?

Biden64¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ28.4K Vol▲ 0pts10d

Polymarket

Open

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER)97¢

34 outcomes

$2.8M Vol▼ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$5.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ3.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Despite recent diplomatic pushes and Ukraine's readiness for an unconditional ceasefire, the market remains deeply skeptical (36%) because Russia has repeatedly refused to halt fighting without major concessions, and a previous US-brokered ceasefire collapsed in mutual recrimination.

Yes36¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$2.1M Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$431 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ281 Vol▲ 0pts—