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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 8 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2394 Tech Company Valuations 891 Big tech & chips 610 Space 460 Science 269 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,523 markets · page 8 of 189

Manifold· Play

Open

2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ882 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…678910…189Next ›

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph? — ≥100 mph

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$14.5K Vol▼ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? — Before 2028

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$206K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ11.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

Anthropic98¢

26 outcomes

$78.8K Vol▼ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? — above 1490

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

When will MNX mainnet launch?

The field is highly concentrated on July and August 2026 (78% combined), with the pre-seed funding announcement in June likely shifting confidence toward these near-term months and compressing earlier possibilities.

July 202641¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ103K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest93¢

4 outcomes

$113K Vol▼ 3pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Jan 2027? — Before 2027

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$21.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? — 45%+

Yes75¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

$2K Vol▲ 25pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

The METR time horizon will exceed 10 hours.100¢

95 outcomes

Ɱ66.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida before Oct 1, 2026 — Before Oct 1, 2026

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$16.6K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the best AI Agent end of July?

Anthropic96¢

29 outcomes

$66.1K Vol▼ 2pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2027 for US markets

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ851 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? — Above 16

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$8.1K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2029?

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

Ɱ757 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $3.76 on Jul 31? — Above $3.76

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$775 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$188K Vol2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

1581¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ33.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$9.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5"87¢

7 outcomes

$3.1K Vol▼ 4pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Montgomery Blair Science Bowl team receive hoodies for the 2026-2027 year?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ152 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $2.71 on Jul 31? — Above $2.71

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Which company has the #3 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Anthropic97¢

26 outcomes

$42K Vol▲ 1pts4d