Tech prediction markets
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →Polymarket
Open
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Yes1¢
No99¢
$8.7M Vol5d
Limitless
Open
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
Yes60¢
No41¢
$36.1K Vol20h
Manifold· Play
Open
When will MNX mainnet launch?
July 202655¢
8 outcomes
Ɱ84.4K Vol6mo
Futuur
Open
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Anthropic96¢
6 outcomes
$3.5K Vol5d
Kalshi
Open
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
Yes12¢
No88¢
$109K Vol74y
Polymarket
Open
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic98¢
19 outcomes
$17.7M Vol5d
Limitless
Open
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down - Daily
Yes51¢
No49¢
$30.8K Vol20h
Manifold· Play
Open
Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess?
Any model announced before 203487¢
51 outcomes
Ɱ406K Vol75y
Futuur
Open
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic72¢
6 outcomes
$165 Vol15d
Kalshi
Open
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Yes62¢
No38¢
$76.1K Vol4y
Polymarket
Open
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Yes25¢
No76¢
$409K Vol▼ 4pts1d
Manifold· Play
Open
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Yes87¢
No13¢
Ɱ2.4M Vol1y
Kalshi
Open
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Yes74¢
No26¢
$148K Vol13y
Polymarket
Open
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Yes6¢
No94¢
$1.9M Vol▲ 2pts3mo
Manifold· Play
Open
2nd largest company end of June 2026?
Apple73¢
8 outcomes
Ɱ23.7K Vol6d
Kalshi
Open
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Yes24¢
No76¢
$132K Vol13y
Polymarket
Open
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes65¢
No36¢
$768K Vol▲ 28pts6d
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?
Yes37¢
No63¢
Ɱ50.1K Vol6d
Kalshi
Open
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?
Yes21¢
No79¢
$52.9K Vol3y
Polymarket
Open
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes10¢
No91¢
$34.4M Vol6mo
Kalshi
Open
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Yes40¢
No60¢
$43.5K Vol4y
Polymarket
Open
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Yes91¢
No9¢
$60.2K Vol▲ 23pts1mo
Kalshi
Open
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Yes29¢
No71¢
$72.4K Vol3y
Polymarket🔭 2 venues
Open
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Yes96¢
No4¢
$39.3K Vol▲ 10pts6mo