Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Tech prediction markets & live odds | PredictPal · PredictPal

💻

Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2322 Tech Company Valuations 859 Big tech & chips 597 Space 432 Science 258 Through 39 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

697 markets · page 1 of 30

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$37.2K Vol▼ 5pts12d

Kalshi⚡ Moving fast

123…30Next ›

Open

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027

Despite Apple's historical pattern of annual September iPhone releases, the market assigns only a 16% chance to an iPhone 18 launch before 2027, driven by reports of a shift toward foldable models and a spring 2027 iPhone Air, suggesting Apple may skip or delay the traditional numbered update.

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$482K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

XO Market

Open

Apple Announces AI Glasses by September 30, 2026

The field is moderately concentrated with the 'No' side leading at 62%, but the 45% sum for two candidates indicates significant overlap or mispricing; the biggest recent shift is Meta's June 23 launch of $299 smart glasses (Forbes, Jun 23), which likely boosted the 'No' side by making Apple's entry seem less urgent or unique.

Apple Does Not Announce AI Glasses62¢

2 outcomes

$2.1K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Futuur

Open

Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?

The field is highly concentrated with Anthropic at 72%, but the complete absence of AI-specific news in the provided 2026 headlines (all TV/refrigerator reviews) suggests that the current odds reflect stale market sentiment rather than recent breakthroughs, making the race more volatile than the percentages imply.

Anthropic67¢

6 outcomes

$275 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

The market is pricing a 45% chance that Anthropic surpasses Apple in valuation by 2030, driven by recent technical breakthroughs and legal disputes, but this is a high-risk bet given Apple's massive market cap and legal offensive.

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ428K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$15.1K Vol▼ 3pts4d

Kalshi

Open

#1 searched person on Google in 2026

The field is moderately concentrated at the top but unusually fragmented, with a recent surge in searches for Amber Heard (Turkmenportal.com, Jul 24) that is not yet reflected in the odds, suggesting the market may be stale or slow to price breaking news.

Bad Bunny17¢

14 outcomes

$639K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030

The field is unusually fragmented for a long-range market, with no single candidate above 15% and the top three summing only 41%, reflecting deep uncertainty about which AI or space bet will dominate by 2030. The biggest recent shift is the rise of Anthropic to 13%, likely tied to the broader AI arms race narrative, though no specific headline directly explains its move.

Nvidia15¢

27 outcomes

Ɱ116K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?

Yes85¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$11.2K Vol▼ 1pts1mo

Kalshi🔭 2 venues⚡ Moving fast

Open

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026? — Before October

Despite historical September launches, the market heavily doubts an iPhone 18 release before October 2026, as Apple appears to be prioritizing foldable models and a second-generation iPhone Air for 2027 over a traditional annual upgrade.

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$485K Vol▲ 2pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

Ɱ274 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket🔭 2 venues

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? — 1495+

Yes39¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$9.9K Vol▲ 7pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026? — Before Jul 31, 2026

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$26K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ41.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Person 150¢

93 outcomes

$72.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search

Erling Haaland43¢

11 outcomes

$1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2027?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ11.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

#1 Searched Passings on Google 2026?

Person 150¢

70 outcomes

$27.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Aug 31, 2026? — Before Aug 31, 2026

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

$5.5K Vol▼ 1pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to Google's age verification system before 2027?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ178 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$188K Vol2mo

Kalshi

Open

What will be the price of a foldable iPhone? — At least $2200

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$47.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Top car company licenses Tesla autopilot by mid 2027 for US markets

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ851 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$87K Vol▼ 0pts5d