Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Biden at about a 64% chance — more likely than not.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
They're all in their eighth or ninth decades!
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
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2 outcomes
2028 Presidential Election Winner
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40 outcomes