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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 19 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2395 Tech Company Valuations 892 Big tech & chips 610 Space 460 Science 269 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,509 markets · page 19 of 188

Polymarket

Open

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$109K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…1718192021…188Next ›

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.03 on Jul 31? — Above $0.03

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$194 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gary Marcus be accurate on at least 50% of his predictions on AI in 2029?

Yes57¢

No43¢

Yes ≈ 57% chance

Ɱ148 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Head-mounted display

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$13.4K Vol▲ 4pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35? — Before Aug 28, 2026

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI beat top human players at Civ6 (without cheating) by EOY 2026?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ580 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 28, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.2K Vol▼ 3pts2d

Kalshi

Open

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? — Computer

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$2.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph? — ≥115 mph

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$3.3K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $10K in revenue?

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

Ɱ354 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in July 2026? — Above 17

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$6.7K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Polymarket

Open

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — ↑5k

Yes16¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$226K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any country recognize AI or robots as non human persons with legal rights before the end of 2055?

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Aug 16, 2026? — Before Aug 16, 2026

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

$5.3K Vol▼ 1pts20d

Polymarket

Open

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$81.8K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ483 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

#2 Most Searched Person on Google in 2026?

Bad Bunny23¢

11 outcomes

$21.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-15955¢

7 outcomes

$318K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Can an LLM be funny in 2026?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ610 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $5.36 on Jul 31? — Above $5.36

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

$2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Video game / Videogame

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$93 Vol▼ 21pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ10.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Ella Halikas be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$605 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Energy" on X this week?

Yes39¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

$91 Vol▼ 5pts7d