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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 20 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2494 Tech Company Valuations 931 Big tech & chips 636 Space 496 Science 292 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,681 markets · page 20 of 196

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple release a foldable phone before a phone without a charging port

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ365 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

‹ Prev1…1819202122…196Next ›

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $5.36 on Jul 31? — Above $5.36

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

$2.4K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$1.4K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

AI wins FTL using screen input and mouse/keyboard before 2027

Yes25¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ779 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Ella Halikas be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$605 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph? — ≥115 mph

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$3.3K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Yes36¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ3.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Kalshi

Open

When will Tesla release Model Y to the public? — Before 2027

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$25.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-15956¢

7 outcomes

$318K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Who really did the attack on Russia 22 Mars 2024

Muslim terrorists (Official Story)94¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ5.5K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? — Before 2030

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$11.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Video game / Videogame

Yes32¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

$93 Vol▼ 12pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

With in the decade the Will Be ai based Influencer personality with at least one million subscribers on YouTube or X?

Yes74¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 74% chance

Ɱ70 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 — At least 1550 score

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$41.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Yes59¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$36.7K Vol▼ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ5.7K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

What will be the price of a foldable iPhone? — At least $2200

Yes58¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 58% chance

$47.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$1.1K Vol▼ 7pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2026?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.95 on Jul 31? — Above $3.95

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

$1.5K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? — ↑ 1550

The market is betting heavily against any AI model reaching a 1550 Chatbot Arena score by year-end 2026, reflecting that even the latest frontier models (Claude 4.6, Gemini 3) have not publicly approached that ceiling, and skepticism about benchmark inflation is growing (KuCoin, Jun 18).

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

$44.5K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Olivia Dunne be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$175 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2035?

Yes49¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 49% chance

Ɱ9.4K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Polymarket

Open

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?

Yes24¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$1.3K Vol▼ 15pts—