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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 9 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3867 US elections 2746 Foreign politics 422 Political Leader Tenure 349 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 10

233 markets · page 9 of 10

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Ron DeSantis

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

$33.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…78910Next ›

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$10.7K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$9.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$14.2K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Rand Paul

Yes43¢

No57¢

Yes ≈ 43% chance

$10.3K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$7.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$4.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$9.9K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Spencer Pratt

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$437 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$7.9K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Steve Bannon

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$7.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$25.9K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Ted Cruz

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

$20K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$15.5K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Tulsi Gabbard

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$6.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Other50¢

12 outcomes

$7.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Thomas Massie

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

$12.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Vivek Ramaswamy

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$11.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$426 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

$465 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027? — Before Oct 1, 2027

AOC is actively fueling 2028 speculation with a deliberate Obama-style rebrand and explicit refusal to rule out a run, but the market still sees a majority chance she holds off—likely because a House member launching a presidential campaign remains historically rare.

Yes64¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 64% chance

$841 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

Rahm Emanuel77¢

33 outcomes

$6.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Ron DeSantis announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Despite a Florida-focused report that DeSantis is 'gearing up' for a 2028 run (Floridian Press, May 12), the market gives only a 9% chance he announces before Jan 1, 2027, reflecting traders' view that his failed 2024 primary bid (BBC, Jan 22, 2024) has severely diminished his standing and that early announcements are rare.

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$311 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Joe Manchin has repeatedly flirted with a presidential run but declined in 2024; his age and lack of a party base make a 2028 bid unlikely, but his independent streak and open field keep the door slightly ajar.

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$660 Vol▲ 0pts1y