Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
🗂 Part of event: Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) →77¢Rahm Emanuel
25% 7 pts all-time
Rahm Emanuel77%
Gavin Newsom23%
Ro Khanna13%
Andy Beshear12%
Kamala Harris7%
Wes Moore6%
27 more103%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Rahm Emanuel at about a 77% chance — likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 1, 2028 · 2y
Total volume$6.2K
ListedMay 30, 2026
SourceView on Kalshi ↗
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes Nov 1, 2028 (2y)
Resolution criteria
Before Nov 1, 2028
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗