Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

🗂 Part of event: Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? →

25¢Yes

24% 0 pts all-time

Yes

25¢

75¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 25% chance — unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 25% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesMar 1, 2028 · 1y

Total volume$660

Open interest$571

ListedSep 23, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Mar 1, 2028 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If Joe Manchin has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗