Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

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1,059 markets · page 5 of 45

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Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029 — Before Jan 1, 2029

The 22nd Amendment's repeal or reinterpretation before 2029 is a long shot, with the 7% Yes odds reflecting speculative chatter around Trump's third-term ambitions rather than any concrete legislative or judicial momentum.

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$258K Vol 0pts2y

Politics prediction markets

Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029 — Before Jan 1, 2029

eric and lara trump divorce before 2029?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Pam Bondi be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Before 2027

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? — ↓ 2.75%

Will Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?

Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

Will any federal or state court rule finds that fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states? — Before 2027

EU dissolves before 2027?

Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?

Will Todd Blanche leaves Deputy Attorney General in before 2027?

Keonne Rodriguez

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a systemwide University of California policy reinstating a requirement that first-year undergraduate applicants submit SAT or ACT scores for admission is formally adopted before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Will Trump veto at least 3 bills before Jan 1, 2027? — At least 3

Will Trump nuke Iran before 2027?

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? — ↑ 4.25%

Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027