Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?
19¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
19¢
No
81¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 19% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 19% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo
Total volumeⱮ202
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗