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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 2 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3829 US elections 2702 Foreign politics 410 Political Leader Tenure 340 Future US Presidents 215 US Political Timelines 202 Leader Tenure Predictions 115 US Political Future 105 Presidential Candidacy 73 Person of the Year Awards 12 Sports & Political Leadership 10

408 markets · page 2 of 17

Kalshi

Open

Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.3M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

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Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$983K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$859K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC be the first female elected President?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ754 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$217K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028? — Before 2028

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

$37.6K Vol▼ 1pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the next president of France after Macron?

Marine Le Pen28¢

30 outcomes

Ɱ37.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

$125K Vol▼ 2pts19d

Kalshi

Open

Vladimir Putin

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$657K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$92.2K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Kalshi

Open

Will become President of the United States before 2045? — Before 2045

Nick Fuentes, a far-right activist with no elected office or major-party affiliation, is given a 16% chance of becoming president before 2045 — a surprisingly high price given historical precedent, driven more by faith in a disruptive outsider scenario than by any concrete political momentum.

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$52.9K Vol▲ 0pts18y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028

Yes26¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

Ɱ3.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Trump out as President

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

$705K Vol5d

Kalshi

Open

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$469K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$72.2K Vol▲ 1pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?

Yes66¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Gustavo Petro leave President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$189K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$8K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028? — Before 2028

Yes69¢

No31¢

Yes ≈ 69% chance

$32.7K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Bakir Izetbegović49¢

29 outcomes

$37K Vol▼ 1pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ7.4K Vol▲ 0pts2y