Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

60¢Yes

60% 1 pts all-time

Yes

60¢

40¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 60% chance — more likely than not.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 60% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesNov 16, 2028 · 2y

Total volumeⱮ7.4K

24h volumeⱮ1

Liquidity

Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator

Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.

Closes Nov 16, 2028 (2y)

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Manifold ↗