Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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6,216 markets · page 11 of 259
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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
The market heavily favors No because Iran has repeatedly rejected handing over enriched uranium and is pursuing a transfer to China, making US possession unlikely without a dramatic reversal.
Yes13¢
No88¢
Yes ≈ 13% chance
$2M Vol 1pts5mo