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Economics prediction markets & live odds | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 723 Growth & recession 286 Inflation 177 Monetary policy 106 Largest Companies 85 Jobs & labor 61 Gasoline Prices 42 Bitcoin Price Levels 15 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Headline 8 Gold Price Levels 7 Fiscal & trade 6

131 markets · page 1 of 6

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 200,000

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$2.4K Vol▲ 0pts4d

ForecastEx

Open

123…6Next ›

US Initial Jobless Claims (210000)

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

166 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Futuur

Open

Brazil's National Unemployment Rate for June

Between 5.5% and 5.7%51¢

3 outcomes

$88 Vol▲ 0pts3d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the number of jobs in the US in January 2030 be less than in January 2026?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ125 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. say during their next earnings call? — Hiring

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

$396 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

ForecastEx

Open

US Initial Jobless Claims (200000)

Yes68¢

No32¢

Yes ≈ 68% chance

15 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Goldman Sachs fire its banking analysts that took PE jobs?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will above 60000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 60,000

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$869 Vol▲ 0pts12d

ForecastEx

Open

US Initial Jobless Claims (210000)

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2100?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ45 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 210,000

Yes55¢

No45¢

Yes ≈ 55% chance

$433 Vol▲ 0pts4d

ForecastEx

Open

US Initial Jobless Claims (210000)

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will above 50000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 50,000

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

$8.4K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Conditional on AI taking coding jobs, will devs brought in to clean up after an AI complain the AI code is unreadable?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ329 Vol▲ 0pts6y

ForecastEx

Open

US Initial Jobless Claims (200000)

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Jul 25, 2026? — At least 205,000

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$711 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

What will MercadoLibre Inc. say during their next earnings call? — Payroll Loan

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

$1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

How many bank teller jobs will I apply to before getting hired?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ442 Vol▲ 0pts10mo

Polymarket

Open

JOLTS Job Openings — June 2026

7.4M-7.5M24¢

8 outcomes

$7.8K Vol▼ 1pts9d

Kalshi

Open

Will above 80000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above 80,000

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$1.8K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Kalshi

Open

Will above -25000 jobs be added in July 2026? — Above -25,000

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$1.8K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which jobs will NOT be taken over by robots before 2035?

Soccer player90¢

38 outcomes

Ɱ20.7K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Polymarket

Open

July Unemployment Rate

4.3%40¢

9 outcomes

$14.7K Vol▲ 1pts12d