Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
AllMarkets & equities 723Growth & recession 286Inflation 177Monetary policy 106Largest Companies 85Jobs & labor 61Gasoline Prices 42Bitcoin Price Levels 15Currency Exchange Rates 14Headline 8Gold Price Levels 7Fiscal & trade 6
604 markets · page 1 of 26
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Fed rate hike in 2026?
The sharp 7-day rise in rate-hike odds reflects a market pricing in a later-in-2026 hike, not necessarily July, driven by oil-price inflation fears and Chair Warsh's hawkish stance, even as immediate July-hike expectations collapsed after his testimony.
Yes72¢
No29¢
Yes ≈ 72% chance