Which jobs will NOT be taken over by robots before 2035?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Soccer player at about a 90% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
[tweet]If ambiguous, resolves to manifold moderators' opinion in 2035. May resolve to a percentage if ambiguous. I'm open to ideas for more specific requirements. Some clarification: robots count digital robots and physical robots The intent is that if the average person in 2035 considers a job to have been taken over by robots, that job resolves NO. So "taken over" may be vague, but non-absolute, but if almost every job that exists today is gone in that sector then, people would probably agree robots have taken it over.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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4 outcomes