Economics prediction markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.
🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →Polymarket
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Fed Decision in July?
No change76¢
5 outcomes
$18.4M Vol1mo
Limitless
Open
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Yes73¢
No27¢
$26.8K Vol20h
ForecastEx
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (29700)
Yes54¢
No46¢
5K Vol15h
Futuur
Open
Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
069¢
7 outcomes
$1.5K Vol5mo
Myriad
Open
Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?
Yes3¢
No97¢
16.5K Vol6d
Kalshi
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US real GDP growth in 2028?
2.6% to 3.0%13¢
14 outcomes
$42.7K Vol2y
Polymarket
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)82¢
13 outcomes
$38.8M Vol6mo
ForecastEx
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (29700)
Yes63¢
No37¢
4K Vol15h
Futuur
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Banxico interest rate decision in June
Maintain the same rate98¢
3 outcomes
$1.1K Vol8h
Myriad
Open
Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?
Yes4¢
No96¢
21.9K Vol6d
Kalshi
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US real GDP growth in 2029?
2.1% to 2.5%16¢
14 outcomes
$24.9K Vol3y
ForecastEx
Open
S&P 500 Futures Price (7325)
Yes98¢
No2¢
3.2K Vol15h
Futuur
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US inflation rate in June (month-over-month CPI)
Less than 0.2%40¢
3 outcomes
$948 Vol19d
Myriad
Open
FED interest rate policy: Cuts or Hikes?
Yes57¢
No43¢
7.6K Vol74y
Kalshi
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US real GDP growth in 2030?
2.6% to 3.0%17¢
14 outcomes
$33.7K Vol4y
ForecastEx
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S&P 500 Futures Price (7350)
Yes95¢
No5¢
3.1K Vol15h
Futuur
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US inflation rate in June (year-over-year CPI)
Less than 4.1%62¢
3 outcomes
$636 Vol19d
ForecastEx
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (29900)
Yes29¢
No71¢
3K Vol15h
Futuur
Open
Stock prices on June 26: higher than on June 18?
Apple Inc. (AAPL)49¢
7 outcomes
$528 Vol1d
ForecastEx
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (29900)
Yes22¢
No78¢
3K Vol15h
Futuur
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US core inflation rate in June (year-over-year CPI)
Between 2.9 and 3.3%44¢
3 outcomes
$418 Vol19d
ForecastEx
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (29600)
Yes59¢
No41¢
2.5K Vol15h
Futuur
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S&P 500 (SPX) close at the final trading day of 2026
8,000 or above66¢
6 outcomes
$264 Vol6mo
ForecastEx
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S&P 500 Futures Price (7350)
Yes95¢
No5¢
2.4K Vol15h