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Economics prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Economics prediction markets

Interest rates, inflation, jobs, and Fed decisions, shown as the crowd's implied probabilities.

🔭 Compare economics odds across venues →

All Markets & equities 743 Growth & recession 286 Inflation 188 Monetary policy 111 Largest Companies 90 Jobs & labor 62 Gasoline Prices 43 Bitcoin Price Levels 15 Currency Exchange Rates 14 Headline 8 Gold Price Levels 7 Fiscal & trade 6

613 markets · page 6 of 26

Kalshi

Open

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in July 2026? — Above 2.4%

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

$5.5K Vol▲ 0pts17d

ForecastEx

Open

‹ Prev1…45678…26Next ›

Chicago CPI (319)

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Yes50¢

No51¢

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Ɱ17 Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? — $10.000+

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$18.6K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 304ㅤ? — Above 304ㅤ

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

$158 Vol▲ 0pts17d

ForecastEx

Open

Chicago CPI (318)

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31? — ↑ $5.00

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$400 Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

If there is a war with China, will the inflation adjusted value of 'my' savings decline by more than 50% after 5 years?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026? — Above 0.2%

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

$2.3K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

ForecastEx

Open

Chicago CPI (318)

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the World Economy experience at least a full year of deflation in the next 10 years?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Kalshi

Open

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2026? — Above 0.3%

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$4.8K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

ForecastEx

Open

Chicago CPI (318)

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2040?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026? — Above 0.4%

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$3.4K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will gas hit $3.60 (Low) by July 31? — ↓ $3.60

Yes3¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$21 Vol4d

ForecastEx

Open

US Consumer Price Index Yearly (3.4)

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts17d

Kalshi

Open

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in July 2026? — Above 3.0%

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

$3.8K Vol▲ 0pts17d

Manifold· Play

Open

By Jan 1, 2029, an electric car will be available in the US w/ a range over 1000 miles for <$75K (inflation adjusted)

The market is overwhelmingly skeptical that a 1000-mile EV under $75k will materialize by 2029, reflecting deep doubts about battery cost and energy density breakthroughs within that timeframe.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ427 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by July 31? — ↓ $3.50

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$1.9K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in July 2026? — Above 3.9%

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$15.2K Vol▲ 0pts17d

ForecastEx

Open

Consumer Price Index of Japan (111.2)

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

10 Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?

The Gini coefficient is less than 0.6092¢

17 outcomes

Ɱ46.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will gas hit $3.25 (Low) by July 31? — ↓ $3.25

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$263 Vol▼ 0pts4d