If there is a war with China, will the inflation adjusted value of 'my' savings decline by more than 50% after 5 years?
45¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 45% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 45% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesJan 14, 2070 · —
Total volumeⱮ10
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Jan 14, 2070 (—)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Futuur
Open
Next target for the US interest rate (July)
Maintain the same rate79¢
4 outcomes
$1.6K Vol 3pts2d