Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: The Gini coefficient is less than 0.60 at about a 92% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Freddie deBoer's proposed a bet with Scott Alexander, predicting that all of these 17 conditions will be true: I'm Offering Scott Alexander a Wager About AI's Effects Over the Next Three Years.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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