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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 57 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2505 Tech Company Valuations 938 Big tech & chips 638 Space 497 Science 296 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,371 markets · page 57 of 58

Manifold· Play

Open

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

≥$1T100¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ9.9K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

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Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?

‹ Prev1…55565758Next ›

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ2.3K Vol▲ 0pts22d

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Open

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before the end of 2026?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ5.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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AI will not cause any catastrophes in 2026

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2026?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ375 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Meek Mill raise $10 million or more for an AI company by the end of 2026?

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

Ɱ74 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Generative AI video used as false evidence in criminal trial by Dec 31, 2026?

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ277 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will Tesla release a petrol/gasoline car before the end of 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

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By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ14.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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What Month in 2026 Will OpenAI IPO in?

Does not ipo in 202686¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ6.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Elon Musk tries to make a space station in next 4 years?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ852 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will "Thoughts on the Pause AI protest" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ750 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026?

The market expects a dramatic tenfold improvement from the current 3% automation rate (ZDNET, Jan 19) to 30-40%, but the wide spread of probabilities suggests deep uncertainty about whether the leap will be incremental or explosive.

30-40%26¢

9 outcomes

Ɱ33.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

Falcon 997¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ7.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Google terminate access to any of its tech to Israel, citing use on Palestinians, by EOY 2026?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ253 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ215 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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By 2028, AI can translate a text written in a newly discovered language into English as well as a team of human experts

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ235 Vol▲ 0pts2y

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When will the human population drop below 1 billion

After 210077¢

10 outcomes

Ɱ12.7K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Mistral AI release a model named "le chaton fat" by EOY 2026

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ90 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Human dies on Mars by 2050

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Ɱ366 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ98 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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What will be the net sentiment on AI benefits vs drawbacks in the latest YouGov US poll of 2026?

-20 to -10pp41¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ19.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo