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AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

The market heavily discounts a Starship orbital docking in 2026 after a recent launch abort (Spaceflight Now, Jul 17) and the steep technical challenge of achieving two stable orbits and a mating maneuver within five months, despite NASA's Artemis III plans that depend on such a capability.

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$37.8K Vol5mo

Tech prediction markets

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? — Above 12

Will a human walk on Mars before 2039?

Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by August 31, 2026?

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? — Above 13

Will the first person to walk on Mars be a vegetarian or vegan?

Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 140

Will at least 50 people have landed on Mars within 15 years after the 1st?

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? — $60+

Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?

PROMISE (OPTIMISM replica of Perseverence Mars Rover) roam the moon by Christmas Eve 2029?

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? — $70+

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035

Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Moon orbit by 2035

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 190

Will Waymo launch in Baltimore, MD by December 31 2026?

Will the upcoming game Mars Attracts get a 73 or higher on Opencritic?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — China

Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?

Will SpaceX pick up and return at least 10 starlink satellites to Earth by mid 2031?

Will Bruno Mars have 11500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026? — Above 11.5B

Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?

Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?