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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 29 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2387 Tech Company Valuations 892 Big tech & chips 608 Space 459 Science 269 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

698 markets · page 29 of 30

Manifold· Play

Open

Will there be a Tesla factory in Saudi Arabia before 2030?

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ289 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…27282930Next ›

Open

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?

Yes44¢

No56¢

Yes ≈ 44% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

Ɱ7.3K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will any video games be based on exploring the interior of a computer chip/GPU/SSD as a world in and of itself by 2028?

Yes70¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 70% chance

Ɱ92 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ107 Vol▲ 0pts6mo

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Open

Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts13y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Yes86¢

No14¢

Yes ≈ 86% chance

Ɱ3.4K Vol▲ 0pts6y

Manifold· Play

Open

Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket

Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026100¢

12 outcomes

Ɱ18.6K Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will OpenAI or Google announce an release a reduction to image generation filters around nudity by EOY 2027?

Yes39¢

No61¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

Ɱ711 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Lada Nuzhna have a higher google search volume than Laura Deming by 2030?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ108 Vol▲ 0pts5y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will @she_llac be mentioned in Apple's security patch notes before the end of this year?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ27 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft by 2099?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ418 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before the end of 2026?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Yes ≈ 99% chance

Ɱ5.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Chip chief Johny Srouji leaves Apple for another company by 2027?

Yes19¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2026?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

Ɱ375 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ446 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Open

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ960 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will Tesla release a petrol/gasoline car before the end of 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Google terminate access to any of its tech to Israel, citing use on Palestinians, by EOY 2026?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ253 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Microsoft eliminate every line of C and C++ by 2030?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ581 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2029?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ319 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ98 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Open

Will Microsoft discontinue Windows in favor of a Windows themed Linux distribution before 2041?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Ɱ395 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple announce a foldable phone or tablet before 2027?

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ7.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo