Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 24 | PredictPal · PredictPal

💻

Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2387 Tech Company Valuations 892 Big tech & chips 608 Space 459 Science 269 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

590 markets · page 24 of 25

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ27.2K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…22232425Next ›

Will there be another Mars 2112 restaurant opened by the end of 2030?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ10 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2030?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ203 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ827 Vol▲ 0pts13y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Despite Elon Musk's immense wealth and SpaceX's Starship, the 12% odds reflect a market that sees his Mars walk as a distant, unlikely dream given his age, technical hurdles, and growing personal controversies that may distract from the mission.

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ55.2K Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will John Mars (part-owner of Mars Inc) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ114 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first baby born on Mars be conceived on mars

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ184 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts8y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX be involved as one of the first organizations to get a human to walk on Mars?

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Ɱ148 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX be nationalized by EoY 2030?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a dog walk on Mars before the end of 2080?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ610 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Starship land on Mars to return the MSR samples?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ373 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will food be grown on mars before a surgery takes place on the moon

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ522 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a dog walk on the Moon before Mars?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ416 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will we send another type of animal to Mars before we send a human to Mars?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ980 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

Ɱ440 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will SpaceX reach $10T?

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ371 Vol▲ 0pts—

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an Amateur Radio Station transmit from Mars before the end of 2030?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 202897¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ41K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Starship land a human on Mars before California HSR transports a paying passenger to Bakersfield?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ275 Vol▲ 0pts18y