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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 12 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2461 Tech Company Valuations 917 Big tech & chips 629 Space 483 Science 289 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

4,627 markets · page 12 of 193

Manifold· Play

Open

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Yes85¢

No15¢

Yes ≈ 85% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…1011121314…193Next ›

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$16.5K Vol▼ 1pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$4.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date

Before November 202684¢

15 outcomes

Ɱ13.6K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$244K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Any psychedelic substance for medical use

The real story is that despite Trump's executive order in April 2026 to accelerate psychedelic access (Reuters, Apr 21), the FDA has not yet approved any psychedelic substance this year, and the market's 42% Yes reflects doubt that the agency will move fast enough before Jan 1, 2027.

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

$355K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

If Elon goes to space within his lifetime, will he go past Low Earth Orbit?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ288 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Iran / Iranian

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$901 Vol▼ 6pts12h

Kalshi

Open

Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.26 on Jul 31? — Above $7.26

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$571 Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an LLM find a counterexample to the Erdős conjecture on APs by July 2027?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ331 Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

$658 Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Martha Stewart

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$398 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a company replace Google's dominant market position by 2028?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$22.9K Vol▲ 4pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030? — Before 2030

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

$134K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Best METR 50% Time Horizon in 2026

>06h100¢

28 outcomes

Ɱ20K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? — 70%+

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$971 Vol▲ 3pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Ungraded Price of the Team Rocket’s Moltres ex Ultra-Premium Collection on Collectr be above $358.19 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00? — Above $358.19

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

255¢

6 outcomes

$3.2M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a model saturate AISI's "The Last Ones" before August 2026?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ1.7K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.43 on Jul 31? — Above $0.43

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "China" on X this week?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$1.1K Vol▼ 15pts12h

Manifold· Play

Open

OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 14k

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo