JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses at about a 53% chance — a coin toss.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029. It asks 3 questions: Will Vance become president during the term to which he was elected as vice president in 2024? Resolves according to this market. @/zsig/will-jd-vance-take-over-the-preside Will he be nominated? Resolves according to this market. @/LarsDoucet/will-jd-vance-be-nominated-for-pres Will he win the general election? Resolves according to this market. @/LarsDoucet/will-jd-vance-win-the-2028-us-presi
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