Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ilie Bolojan was ousted via no-confidence vote in May but remains as caretaker PM, making his departure before year-end highly likely but not yet formalized; the 93% odds reflect the expectation that a new government will replace him, while the slight dip suggests uncertainty over whether the caretaker period could extend past December.
Yes94¢
No6¢
Yes ≈ 94% chance
$312K Vol 1pts