Politics prediction markets
Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.
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Will Kevin McCarthy run for president by 2044?
Kevin McCarthy's public comments suggest he is positioning himself as a kingmaker and commentator rather than a candidate, and the 3% odds reflect a market that sees his presidential ambitions as highly unlikely given his age, recent electoral defeats of allies, and his own focus on party dynamics and AI's role in politics.
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Ɱ1K Vol 0pts