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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 16 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3903 US elections 2791 Foreign politics 432 Political Leader Tenure 356 Future US Presidents 228 US Political Timelines 204 Leader Tenure Predictions 118 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 75 Person of the Year Awards 14 Sports & Political Leadership 10

424 markets · page 16 of 18

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ9.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

‹ Prev1…1415161718Next ›

Will Taylor Swift run for president of the United States by EOY 2040?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts14y

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Open

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ8.7K Vol▲ 0pts6y

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Will Jamie Dimon run for president of the United States by 2040?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ933 Vol▲ 0pts14y

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Poland: Will Mata (Michał Matczak) become a President of Poland?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ310 Vol▲ 0pts16y

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Will Kevin McCarthy ever be elected President?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Trump be elected President in 2024 / Will Trump serve time?

Trump wins the 2024 Election and never serves time before death97¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ11.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a person who is not Joe Biden or Donald Trump become the de facto president of the United States before 2028?

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ17.9K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Donald Trump be elected President in 2028?

Yes3¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ14.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Yoweri Museveni's son succeed him as President of Uganda?

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Ɱ55 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will a black woman become president of the United States before the end of 2081?

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

Ɱ135 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ15.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Mike Pompeo ever be elected President?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ703 Vol▲ 0pts—

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🗳️Who will become president of the USA before the end of 2075? [ADD RESPONSES]

J.D. Vance37¢

43 outcomes

Ɱ9.6K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Open

If the Dems win enough seats in the midterms, will Trump be impeached?

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will a member of Generation X become president of the United States?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ340 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Ivanka Trump be elected President in 2032?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts6y

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Will a US president be impeached in the next 40 years?

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts6y

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When, if ever, will Donald Trump be impeached?

Prior to leaving office (Presumably in 2029)65¢

8 outcomes

Ɱ12K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will the next elected President of the USA serve the full term?

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will Tucker Carlson ever be elected President?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Trump gets impeached by January 20, 2029

The market is pricing a surprisingly high chance of a third Trump impeachment, driven by fresh Democratic calls after his election integrity speech, but internal party skepticism and the high bar for conviction keep the outcome far from certain.

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ361 Vol▲ 0pts2y