Skip to content

Discover ✨Ask Topics Community 🎓Learn

PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

Compare odds across venues·Resolved markets·How it works·Support·Privacy Policy·Terms of Service

Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 7 | PredictPal · PredictPal

💻

Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2403 Tech Company Valuations 893 Big tech & chips 615 Space 462 Science 270 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,321 markets · page 7 of 56

Kalshi

Open

Will Ungraded Price of the Team Rocket’s Moltres ex Ultra-Premium Collection on Collectr be above $358.19 on 2026-07-31T23:59:00-04:00? — Above $358.19

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$2.6K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

‹ Prev1…56789…56Next ›

Open

Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ483 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? — #10

Yes97¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 97% chance

$15.2K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 14k

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$2.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Can an LLM be funny in 2026?

Yes47¢

No53¢

Yes ≈ 47% chance

Ɱ610 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$90.5K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Dec 1, 2026? — Before December

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$51.3K Vol▲ 0pts4mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes93¢

No7¢

Yes ≈ 93% chance

$244K Vol▲ 2pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts9y

Kalshi

Open

In Dec 31, 2026

Despite recent WHO briefings and a cruise-ship outbreak, hantavirus has never triggered a PHEIC and current clusters remain contained, keeping the odds at 5%.

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.6M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Iran / Iranian

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$901 Vol▼ 6pts13h

Manifold· Play

Open

The first religion centred around the prophetic writings and responses of AI or an AI will be founded before Oct 2026

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

Ɱ236 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 170

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$70.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$658 Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before 2030?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026? — At least 70%

Yes27¢

No73¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$22.9K Vol▲ 4pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a human walk on Mars before 2039?

Yes32¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 32% chance

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts12y

Kalshi

Open

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026? — Last Energy

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$4.8K Vol▲ 0pts5d

Polymarket

Open

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

255¢

6 outcomes

$3.2M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first instance of an AI breakout that cannot be brought back under human control result in more than 1,000,000 deaths?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ293 Vol▲ 0pts4y

Kalshi

Open

Above 10 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$39.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

$1.5K Vol▲ 17pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "AI catastrophe: more like a genocide than a t..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ21 Vol▲ 0pts1y