Tech prediction markets
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
834 markets · page 32 of 35
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? — Before December 2026
Yes ≈ 14% chance
AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.
834 markets · page 32 of 35
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
The market heavily discounts a Neutron launch by October 2026 (7% Yes), suggesting that despite a successful engine test and bullish analyst coverage, the timeline to first flight is seen as too tight for a new medium-lift vehicle facing integration and testing hurdles.
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 80% chance
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Yes ≈ 23% chance
Yes ≈ 89% chance
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 99% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Yes ≈ 1% chance