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Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 3 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2346 Tech Company Valuations 873 Big tech & chips 602 Space 443 Science 263 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

692 markets · page 3 of 29

Kalshi

Open

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Aug 16, 2026? — Before Aug 16, 2026

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

$5.3K Vol▲ 0pts20d

Polymarket

Open

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Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$47.8K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Tesla offers a car & mode where Tesla has legal liability for any damages that occur while self-driving by end 2026

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

When will Tesla release Model Y to the public? — Before 2027

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$25.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 27, 2026?

Yes0¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 0% chance

$1.3K Vol▼ 5pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$32.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

HotSchedules53¢

14 outcomes

$570 Vol▲ 2pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ93 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.75 million total deliveries in 2026?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

$9.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? — 55%+

Yes37¢

No63¢

Yes ≈ 37% chance

$492 Vol▲ 8pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

Ɱ43.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.8 million total production in 2026?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$839 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Musk and SpaceX COO have publicly floated a merger, but the market heavily discounts a 2026 announcement because no formal process is visible and SpaceX is busy with a $2.2T IPO trajectory and a $60B AI acquisition, making a controlling-interest deal logistically improbable within the timeframe.

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$81.8K Vol▲ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Bad Bunny be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

Yes72¢

No28¢

Yes ≈ 72% chance

$7.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple VR App Store revenue surpass Meta Quest Store revenues in 4 years?

Yes30¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ79 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? — Above 1000000 in a single quarter

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$437 Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? — 50%+

Yes67¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$3.3K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Tesla introduces model which can be configured to have >=500 mile range per charge before 2029

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ85 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? — Above 500000 in a single quarter

Yes53¢

No47¢

Yes ≈ 53% chance

$93.1K Vol▲ 0pts8mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?

Yes65¢

No36¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

$147 Vol▲ 21pts7d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Microsoft Publisher be discontinued

Yes82¢

No18¢

Yes ≈ 82% chance

Ɱ115 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Taylor Swift be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$6.8K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 28, 2026?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$2.2K Vol▼ 3pts2d