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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 23 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2482 Tech Company Valuations 927 Big tech & chips 633 Space 494 Science 292 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

627 markets · page 23 of 27

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Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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‹ Prev1…2122232425…27Next ›

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Will a human walk on Mars before 2038?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ8.6K Vol▲ 0pts11y

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Will SpaceX announce any sort of deal with Russia or China before the end of 2026?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ265 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Will we have AGI before a Mars colony?

Yes79¢

No21¢

Yes ≈ 79% chance

Ɱ3.9K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ6.9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?

Yes84¢

No16¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

Ɱ765 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ6.2K Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will there be >1 kg of sample material sent to Earth from Mars by 2035?

Yes65¢

No35¢

Yes ≈ 65% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will Elon Musk take humanity to Mars before December 2034?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ948 Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will China beat the USA to Mars?

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Ɱ13.2K Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will someone stow away on a rocket before 2050?

Yes21¢

No79¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ190 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2030?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ3.2K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Elon Musk ever set foot on Mars?

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ26.6K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

SpaceX's aggressive timeline aims for Mars by 2030, but the 17% odds reflect skepticism that uncrewed test flights in the 2026 window will sufficiently de-risk crewed missions within four years.

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

Ɱ106K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ908 Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts8y

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Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ874 Vol▲ 0pts14y

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Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2060?

Yes61¢

No39¢

Yes ≈ 61% chance

Ɱ784 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will a human walk on Mars before 2036?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ2.1K Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will a human walk on Mars before 2030?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ19.2K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?

The field is highly concentrated on the early 2030s, with the top three candidates (2034, 2033, 2032) summing to 260%, reflecting market confidence that a crewed lunar landing will occur in that window; the single biggest recent shift is the surge of 2034 to 89%, likely driven by the May 2026 Space Daily report that NASA is restructuring its Artemis program by cutting science missions and partnerships, which could push the landing timeline later.

203489¢

11 outcomes

Ɱ20.2K Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2080?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ642 Vol▲ 0pts—

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NVIDIA to the moon?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ4.1K Vol▲ 0pts7y

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Will a human walk on Mars before 2037?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ2.9K Vol▲ 0pts10y