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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 22 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2494 Tech Company Valuations 931 Big tech & chips 636 Space 496 Science 292 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

627 markets · page 22 of 27

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Will a share of SpaceX be worth $150 or more one year after IPO?

Yes36¢

No64¢

Yes ≈ 36% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts10mo

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‹ Prev1…2021222324…27Next ›

Will the first sample of Mars be returned to Earth by robotic means?

Yes88¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Ɱ162 Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will a Falcon 9 launch from the Guiana Space Centre before 2030?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ461 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Which planet will Elon Musk die on?

Earth94¢

4 outcomes

Ɱ4.6K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035?

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

Ɱ12.1K Vol▲ 0pts9y

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Will the first person to walk on Mars be alone at the time of landing?

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ399 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will the United Kingdom complete their Sutherland spaceport and launch an orbital rocket from it before EOY 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts1y

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Will Elon Musk realize his dream of dying on Mars?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?

Yes95¢

No5¢

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Ɱ4.2K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will humans establish a permanent colony in Mars by 2040?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts13y

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Will Elon Musk move SpaceX to Russia?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts4y

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Will Elon Musk launch a reality show on Mars, featuring Martian life by 2030?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ830 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Someone literally Factorios themselves by building a rocket and escaping a planet or moon before 2100?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ134 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ2.2K Vol▲ 0pts2y

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Will the first human habitat on Mars be on the surface?

Yes87¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 87% chance

Ɱ251 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ1.6K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Ɱ209 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a dog walk on Mars before the first baby is born on Mars?

Yes63¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

Ɱ1.8K Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will ISRO's LVM3 rocket experience a failure before 2030?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ229 Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ9K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will a human walk on Mars before the end of 2045?

Yes59¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

Ɱ2.7K Vol▲ 0pts19y

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Will there be crewed Starship flights to Mars in 4 years if there are successful launches 2 years from now?

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

Ɱ1.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

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Will Elon Musk ever make it to Mars?

Yes10¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

Ɱ634 Vol▲ 0pts—

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Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2100?

Yes11¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts—