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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 2 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2346 Tech Company Valuations 873 Big tech & chips 602 Space 443 Science 263 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

40 markets · page 2 of 2

Manifold· Play

Open

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Yes76¢

No24¢

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Ɱ325 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will CUDA remain a monopoly for GPU software through 2027?

Yes54¢

No46¢

Yes ≈ 54% chance

Ɱ454 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

At least 100 humans die in space through 2034

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ524 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will animals speak through AI by 2030?

Yes71¢

No29¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Ɱ442 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

US gov lists a wanted fugitive's location as in space through 2033

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ174 Vol▲ 0pts7y

Manifold· Play

Open

Someone shot in space through 2031

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5y

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Open

Collision between two occupied ships in space leading to injuries any time through 2035

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

Ɱ230 Vol▲ 0pts9y

Manifold· Play

Open

Whether by the end of 2030 gold will cease to be scarce through the development of space mining?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

FBI most wanted has someone listed for a crime committed in space through 2034

Yes6¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ596 Vol▲ 0pts8y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will it be conclusively shown (through some way) that slowing the aging rate of AI researchers down (eg interventions decreasing DNAm age) will increase their net output/productivity by 2029?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ939 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tim Cook continue as CEO of Apple through 2030?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Ɱ1.9K Vol▲ 0pts4y

Manifold· Play

Open

Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%

Yes41¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 41% chance

Ɱ202 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

Yes42¢

No59¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ6K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Ɱ10.5K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]

The field is highly concentrated at the top, with three options at 100% and a long tail of sub-5% candidates, but the recent resolution of 'Architects of AI' to 100% has shifted the landscape by validating abstract group concepts and potentially opening the door for other collective entities.

Taylor Swift100¢

72 outcomes

Ɱ72.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI/ML be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?

Yes91¢

No9¢

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Ɱ660 Vol▲ 0pts3y