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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 18 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

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All AI 2461 Tech Company Valuations 917 Big tech & chips 629 Space 483 Science 289 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 9 Space Development 9 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,344 markets · page 18 of 56

Polymarket

Open

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 29, 2026?

<0.140¢

3 outcomes

$25 Vol▼ 37pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Above 12000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 12k

‹ Prev1…1617181920…56Next ›

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$1.1K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ16K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 29, 2026?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$1.4K Vol▼ 0pts3d

Kalshi

Open

Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 4k

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

$1.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Yes2¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Ɱ37.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+89¢

8 outcomes

$79.6K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 6000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 6k

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$1.3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ3.9K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Polymarket

Open

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$5.2K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Above 8000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026 — Above 8k

Yes94¢

No6¢

Yes ≈ 94% chance

$1.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ13.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes89¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$80.8K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes16¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 16% chance

$3K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "Help keep AI under human control: Palisade Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Despite a wave of 2025 media coverage about AI self-preservation and cheating, the specific LessWrong post 'Palisade' has low odds of cracking the top 50, suggesting that community voting factors—such as niche appeal and competition—outweigh broad public interest.

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ22 Vol▲ 0pts6mo

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Football" on X this week?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$241 Vol▼ 5pts11h

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$3.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a US entity force OpenAI to delete any mainline DALL-E models by the end of 2026?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Ɱ2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

App B50¢

14 outcomes

$756 Vol▼ 1pts5d

Kalshi

Open

Central African Republic

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$4.6K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Ɱ1.4K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?

Yes52¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 52% chance

$3.1K Vol▼ 3pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$21.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will "AI found 12 of 12 OpenSSL zero-days (while cu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

Ɱ100 Vol▲ 0pts1y