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PredictPal is a neutral, third-party aggregator of public prediction-market data. It is informational only — not affiliated with any platform, and it does not facilitate trading or hold funds. Market data is sourced from each platform’s public API and may be delayed.

Sources: Polymarket · Kalshi · Manifold · PredictIt · Hyperliquid · Myriad · Azuro · Limitless · Futuur · ForecastEx · InsightX · XO Market · Smarkets · SX Bet · Metaculus

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Tech prediction markets & live odds — page 10 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Tech prediction markets

AI milestones, product launches, and company outcomes priced by prediction markets.

🔭 Compare tech odds across venues →

All AI 2403 Tech Company Valuations 893 Big tech & chips 615 Space 462 Science 270 Through 40 Elevator 15 Software Engineering Trends 14 Space Development 9 Space Tech & Exploration ✨ 8 Software Industry Trends 5 Streamer 2

1,321 markets · page 10 of 56

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in July 2026? — Above 18

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$3.2K Vol▲ 0pts12d

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…89101112…56Next ›

Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$493 Vol▼ 24pts13h

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk be buried on or have his ashes scattered on Mars when he dies?

Yes31¢

No69¢

Yes ≈ 31% chance

Ɱ861 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in July 2026? — Above 19

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$474 Vol▲ 0pts12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ6.5K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in July 2026? — Above 20

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$178 Vol▲ 0pts12d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Elon Musk be buried in a Tesla vehicle?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ919 Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026? — Above 8000

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$108K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes59¢

No42¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$3.2K Vol▲ 5pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI be able to accurately do my taxes by EOY 2026?

Yes60¢

No40¢

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Ɱ4.5K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Oct 1, 2026? — Before October

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$17.6K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Polymarket

Open

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

Yes21¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

$23.3K Vol25d

Kalshi

Open

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is disabled for US customers before Jul 31, 2026? — Before Jul 31, 2026

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$7.9K Vol▲ 0pts4d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?

The market assigns a negligible 3% chance to AI causing over 20% human mortality by 2030, reflecting a lack of any credible pathway or recent evidence; the headlines about Ebola, heatwaves, and civil conflicts are unrelated to AI risk and do not move the odds.

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Ɱ104K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? — 55%+

Yes38¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 38% chance

$492 Vol▲ 6pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$2.2K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a human step foot on mars before the Toronto Maple Leafs win another Stanley Cup?

Yes30¢

No70¢

Yes ≈ 30% chance

Ɱ1K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$2M Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$6.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Human Controls Tesla Bot Humanoid Robot Via Neuralink by 2030

Yes73¢

No27¢

Yes ≈ 73% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?

Yes34¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$220 Vol▼ 10pts7d

Kalshi

Open

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.8 million total production in 2026?

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$839 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ5.4K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Polymarket

Open

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — ↑3k

Yes90¢

No10¢

Yes ≈ 90% chance

$85.2K Vol▼ 1pts5mo