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261 markets · page 9 of 11

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Will Donald Trump be the US president when we get AGI?

The market heavily discounts a Trump AGI presidency, betting that AGI arrives after 2028 or under a different administration, but the real story is the tension between rapid AI breakthroughs and political timelines.

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol 0pts13y

Politics prediction markets

Will Donald Trump be the US president when we get AGI?

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Will there be an assassination attempt on JD Vance before the end of 2026?