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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 8 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3867 US elections 2746 Foreign politics 422 Political Leader Tenure 349 Future US Presidents 225 US Political Timelines 203 Leader Tenure Predictions 117 US Political Future 107 Presidential Candidacy 74 Person of the Year Awards 13 Sports & Political Leadership 10

233 markets · page 8 of 10

Polymarket

Open

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$9.3K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…678910Next ›

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Ɱ3K Vol▲ 0pts—

Kalshi

Open

Glenn Youngkin

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$8.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes11¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 11% chance

$8.5K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tucker Carlson run for President between now and the 2036 election (inclusive)?

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

Ɱ3.1K Vol▲ 0pts10y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Jeff Bezos

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$3.5K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$6.7K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will AOC run for President by 2040?

Yes71¢

No30¢

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Ɱ2.8K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Jared Kushner

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$958 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes9¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$2.9K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?

Public anger at ICE's aggressiveness is high, but the market doubts a future non-Republican president will abolish the agency because Democrats have consistently pushed for reform, not abolition, and the political and legal barriers to eliminating a federal law enforcement agency are steep.

Yes42¢

No58¢

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Ɱ2.5K Vol▲ 0pts12y

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — John McEntee

Yes33¢

No67¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

$10.8K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes12¢

No89¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$9.8K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — John Thune

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$460 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?

Despite Newsom's sliding poll numbers and surging rivals like AOC, the market is nearly certain he will run in 2028, suggesting traders see his decision as independent of current primary standings and driven by his term-limit deadline and national ambition.

Yes92¢

No8¢

Yes ≈ 92% chance

Ɱ1.3K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$6.4K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Katie Britt

Yes13¢

No87¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

$165 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Yulia Navalnaya run for President of Russia before 2030?

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

Ɱ105 Vol▲ 0pts3y

Polymarket

Open

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$10.6K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Nikki Haley

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$8.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes1¢

No100¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$3.8K Vol5mo

Polymarket

Open

Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$15.9K Vol▼ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Pete Hegseth

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$6.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Chelsea Clinton

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$13.3K Vol▼ 0pts5mo