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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

6,216 markets · page 6 of 259

Polymarket⚡ Moving fast

Open

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

No Meeting by September 3027¢

19 outcomes

$3.1M Vol▲ 1pts2mo

Manifold· Play

Open

‹ Prev1…45678…259Next ›

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

Ɱ11.8K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

With only six days until the deadline, the crypto market structure bill faces near-insurmountable odds despite recent White House agreement on ethics provisions, as the Senate has only just reopened talks and the bill has not yet passed either chamber.

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$808K Vol▲ 0pts6d

Futuur

Open

Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

3,000 or more83¢

4 outcomes

$36 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?

The field is dominated by two scenarios — split control (Democratic House, Republican Senate) at 45% and a Democratic sweep at 41% — but recent polls signal a tightening Senate map that is narrowing the gap between them (Delawareonline.com, Jul 22).

Democratic House, Republican Senate43¢

5 outcomes

Ɱ72.1K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Trump's approval rating on Jul 31, 2026?

41.1 to 41.329¢

8 outcomes

$56.5K Vol▼ 1pts5d

Futuur

Open

Todd Blanche confirmed as US Attorney General by...?

August 3057¢

2 outcomes

$30 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — 30+

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

$432K Vol▲ 5pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Democratic party50¢

3 outcomes

Ɱ8.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Maine Senate winner?

Democratic party64¢

2 outcomes

$3.5M Vol▼ 1pts1y

Futuur

Open

Winner of Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$27 Vol▲ 0pts15d

Polymarket

Open

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson99¢

18 outcomes

$894K Vol▼ 4pts1d

Manifold· Play

Open

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?

Yes89¢

No11¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

Ɱ5.2K Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Will Donald Trump meet in person Benjamin Netanyahu before Aug 1, 2026? — Before Aug 1, 2026

Yes98¢

No2¢

Yes ≈ 98% chance

$124K Vol▲ 2pts6d

Polymarket

Open

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Trump's renewed demand for Greenland at the NATO summit has not shifted market odds, which remain heavily against acquisition before 2027 due to Denmark's firm opposition and the lack of any concrete negotiation process.

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$35.1M Vol5mo

Futuur

Open

Winner of the Michigan Democratic Senate primary

Yes77¢

No23¢

Yes ≈ 77% chance

$19 Vol▲ 0pts8d

Manifold· Play

Open

2028 Republican nominee?

Trump's continued influence, demonstrated by his intercession in a House race and disaster aid allocation (NYT, ABC News, Jul 3), keeps his former running mate JD Vance as the clear front-runner, but the field remains fragmented with many candidates below 5%, suggesting the race is far from settled.

JD Vance42¢

19 outcomes

Ɱ952K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Sep 1, 2026? — Before Sep 1, 2026

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$188K Vol▲ 0pts1mo

Polymarket

Open

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Yes ≈ 62% chance

$119K Vol▲ 12pts1mo

Futuur

Open

How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

4 to 635¢

5 outcomes

$13 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?

Yes23¢

No77¢

Yes ≈ 23% chance

Ɱ152 Vol▲ 1pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will Trump say "Uranium" before Jul 27, 2026?

Despite the Saudi nuclear deal dominating headlines, Trump's July 23 statements explicitly discussed 'enrichment' and 'normalization' without uttering 'uranium,' and with only ~1.5 days left in the market, traders see a 5% chance he says the word before the deadline.

Yes5¢

No95¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$39.7K Vol▲ 0pts1d

Polymarket⚡ Moving fast

Open

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes8¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

$10.3M Vol5mo

Futuur

Open

Trump pardons in 2026

Robert Menendez12¢

4 outcomes

$12 Vol▲ 0pts5mo