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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

4,992 markets · page 6 of 208

Smarkets

Open

Clacton By-Election - Nigel Farage To Increase Vote Share

Yes96¢

No4¢

Yes ≈ 96% chance

£1.2K Vol▲ 0pts18d

Polymarket

Open

‹ Prev1…45678…208Next ›

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?

Yes89¢

No12¢

Yes ≈ 89% chance

$38.9K Vol▲ 5pts4d

Kalshi

Open

New Mexico Governor winner?

Deb Haaland89¢

2 outcomes

$34.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

The field is moderately concentrated, with the top three candidates summing to 51%, but the recent surge of Troy Jackson in Maine Senate headlines has no direct bearing on the 2028 presidential race, leaving the current odds driven by pre-existing name recognition and speculation rather than new presidential campaign events.

Gavin Newsom21¢

81 outcomes

Ɱ2.2M Vol▲ 0pts2y

Futuur

Open

North Carolina's Senate election winner

Democratic Party83¢

2 outcomes

$99 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Smarkets

Open

Next General Election - Snap Election

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

£880 Vol▲ 0pts2y

Polymarket

Open

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$48.9K Vol▼ 8pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Josh Shapiro95¢

2 outcomes

$79.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]

Yes46¢

No54¢

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Ɱ1.2K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Futuur

Open

Maine's Senate election winner

Democratic Party66¢

2 outcomes

$82 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Smarkets

Open

Governor Elections — Ohio Governor Election Winner

Republican57¢

2 outcomes

£415 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Kalshi

Open

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Abdul El-Sayed, 3-6%15¢

13 outcomes

$167K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?

Labour43¢

6 outcomes

Ɱ13.7K Vol▲ 0pts2y

Futuur

Open

Elected Senators for Alagoas in 2026

Arthur Lira48¢

4 outcomes

$76 Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Smarkets

Open

State Senate Elections — Ohio Senate Election Winner

Republican53¢

2 outcomes

£378 Vol▼ 49pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson99¢

18 outcomes

$894K Vol▼ 4pts1d

Kalshi

Open

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?

Troy Jackson99¢

21 outcomes

$4.2M Vol▲ 0pts5d

Manifold· Play

Open

Brazil Presidential Election Winner

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva70¢

7 outcomes

Ɱ15.3K Vol▲ 0pts2mo

Futuur

Open

Winning party in Wisconsin's gubernatorial election (2026)

Democratic Party68¢

2 outcomes

$65 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Smarkets

Open

Governor Elections — Nevada Governor Election Winner

Democrat52¢

2 outcomes

£353 Vol▲ 0pts3mo

Polymarket

Open

Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage96¢

52 outcomes

$2.8M Vol▲ 0pts11mo

Kalshi

Open

U.S. Virgin Islands Governor winner?

Stacey Plaskett57¢

7 outcomes

$61.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

The field is moderately concentrated, with the top three candidates holding 52% of the probability, but the recent headlines are entirely about a Maine Senate race, not the presidential primary, indicating no major national shift has occurred in the last 24 hours.

Gavin Newsom21¢

62 outcomes

Ɱ252K Vol▼ 2pts2y

Smarkets

Open

Next General Election - Prime Minister At Poll Opening - Andy Burnham

Yes81¢

No19¢

Yes ≈ 81% chance

£131 Vol▲ 0pts3y