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Politics prediction markets & live odds — page 6 | PredictPal · PredictPal

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Politics prediction markets

Elections, policy, and geopolitics priced across every major prediction market — compared side by side with the cross-venue PredictPal Consensus.

🔭 Compare politics odds across venues →

All US governance 3965 US elections 2858 Foreign politics 458 Political Leader Tenure 364 Future US Presidents 233 US Political Timelines 206 Leader Tenure Predictions 121 US Political Future 108 Presidential Candidacy 78 Person of the Year Awards 15 Sports & Political Leadership 10

236 markets · page 6 of 10

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Mark Kelly

Yes66¢

No34¢

Yes ≈ 66% chance

$19K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

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Will a Republican President confiscate the coins?

The market is betting against a Republican president seizing coins, but the recent announcement of a Trump dollar coin introduces a new symbolic dimension that could shift perceptions of what 'confiscation' means in practice.

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

Ɱ129 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Vivek Ramaswamy

Yes7¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$7.5K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Mitch Landrieu

Yes59¢

No41¢

Yes ≈ 59% chance

$638 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jeff Bezos run for President before 2060?

Yes14¢

No86¢

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes4¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$16.3K Vol▼ 1pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Mikie Sherrill

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$902 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mark Cuban run for president before the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Championship again?

Yes21¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Ɱ4.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

John Fetterman

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$6.9K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Kalshi

Open

Pete Buttigieg

Yes78¢

No22¢

Yes ≈ 78% chance

$8.6K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Mr. Beast run for president before the end of 2070?

Yes40¢

No60¢

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Ɱ236 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Yes9¢

No91¢

Yes ≈ 9% chance

$41K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Roy Cooper

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$8.9K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Bryan Johnson run for President of the USA in the 21st century?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Yes ≈ 8% chance

Ɱ275 Vol▲ 0pts—

Polymarket

Open

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$19K Vol5mo

Kalshi

Open

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Ro Khanna

Yes75¢

No25¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

$24.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Michelle Obama

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$14.2K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Taylor Swift run for president of the United States by EOY 2040?

The market sees a Taylor Swift presidential run as extremely unlikely, but the real story is that her political influence is already massive and could shift if the political landscape changes dramatically.

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Ɱ2.4K Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Raphael Warnock

Yes35¢

No65¢

Yes ≈ 35% chance

$4.2K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Elise Stefanik

Yes4¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 4% chance

$3.7K Vol▲ 0pts5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Jamie Dimon run for president of the United States by 2040?

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

Ɱ933 Vol▲ 0pts14y

Kalshi

Open

Stephen A. Smith

Yes24¢

No76¢

Yes ≈ 24% chance

$31.4K Vol▲ 0pts1y

Polymarket

Open

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes5¢

No96¢

Yes ≈ 5% chance

$28.6K Vol5mo

Manifold· Play

Open

Will Tucker Carlson ever run for president?

Yes28¢

No72¢

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Ɱ383 Vol▲ 0pts—